Current MinV Ranking for the 2004 Season
At right are the rankings of all NCAA
Division 1 college basketball teams thru the games of March
13, 2005 (i.e., all regular season and conference tournament
games)
using MinV, a model developed by
Jay Coleman of the
University of North Florida. MinV generates a
ranking that minimizes the number of game score violations --
that is, the number of times a game's winner is ranked behind
the team it defeated. In other words, MinV guarantees
the ranking with the best retrodictive accuracy.
The ranking at right results in only
866 violations out of 4675
Division 1-A games, or a violation percentage of 18.52%.
However, due to the very large size
of the problem for college basketball, the model was not
able to identify the guaranteed minimum violations ranking for
this week, after a lengthy processing time. In other
words, the 866 violations may be the best
possible solution, but it's not guaranteed (the MinV model did
establish that the minimum number of violations could not
possibly be lower than 810).
A minimum violations ranking has never before been presented
for college basketball (due in part to the extreme computational
difficulty involved for a problem with 330 teams). However, there are literally
trillions of different rankings at any given point in time that
would yield the same total of 866 violations; the ranking
shown
is only one of those.
The current MinV ranking for
college football can be found
here.
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About the Author
Jay Coleman is the
Richard deRaismes Kip Professor of Operations Management &
Quantitative Methods in the Coggin College of Business at the
University of North Florida.
His research with Allen Lynch (of Mercer University) on modeling
the decisions of the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee, first
published in the journal
Interfaces,
has been featured by the Wall Street Journal,
Forbes, Investor's Business Daily, the New York
Times, the Associated Press, UPI, and USA Today, as well as
over 50 other major media outlets, including CNN Headline News, the
Sporting News, and CBS SportsLine. More information
about the NCAA Tournament model can be found at
DanceCard.unf.edu. His
research with Ken Jennings and Frank McLaughlin on final offer
arbitration in professional baseball has been published in
Cal-Berkeley's
Industrial Relations journal.
| | |
1 |
Boston College |
2 |
Illinois |
3 |
Wake Forest |
4 |
Gonzaga |
5 |
North Carolina |
6 |
Wisconsin |
7 |
Iowa |
8 |
Oklahoma St. |
9 |
Duke |
10 |
Texas Tech |
11 |
Washington |
12 |
Oklahoma |
13 |
Connecticut |
14 |
Syracuse |
15 |
West Virginia |
16 |
George Washington |
17 |
Villanova |
18 |
Kansas |
19 |
North Carolina St. |
20 |
Central Florida |
21 |
Georgia Tech |
22 |
Kentucky |
23 |
Pacific |
24 |
Arizona |
25 |
Miami FL |
26 |
Texas El Paso |
27 |
Utah St. |
28 |
Arizona St. |
29 |
Louisville |
30 |
Michigan St. |
31 |
Ohio |
32 |
Cincinnati |
33 |
Stanford |
34 |
Northern Iowa |
35 |
Texas A&M |
36 |
UCLA |
37 |
Bowling Green |
38 |
Iowa St. |
39 |
Oregon |
40 |
Southwest Missouri St. |
41 |
New Mexico |
42 |
Texas |
43 |
Kansas St. |
44 |
Utah |
45 |
Denver |
46 |
Louisiana St. |
47 |
Florida |
48 |
Alabama |
49 |
Miami OH |
50 |
Mississippi St. |
51 |
Buffalo |
52 |
Vanderbilt |
53 |
Toledo |
54 |
Nevada |
55 |
Wisconsin Milwaukee |
56 |
Hawaii |
57 |
Vermont |
58 |
Southern California |
59 |
St. Mary's |
60 |
San Diego |
61 |
Arkansas Little Rock |
62 |
Charlotte |
63 |
Pepperdine |
64 |
Louisiana Lafayette |
65 |
Nevada Las Vegas |
66 |
Southern Illinois |
67 |
UAB |
68 |
Clemson |
69 |
Rice |
70 |
Wyoming |
71 |
Creighton |
72 |
Maryland |
73 |
Wichita St. |
74 |
Illinois St. |
75 |
Virginia |
76 |
Drake |
77 |
Western Kentucky |
78 |
Bradley |
79 |
Bucknell |
80 |
Northwestern |
81 |
DePaul |
82 |
Pittsburgh |
83 |
Texas A&M Corpus Chris |
84 |
Notre Dame |
85 |
Old Dominion |
86 |
South Carolina |
87 |
Arkansas |
88 |
Hofstra |
89 |
Minnesota |
90 |
Texas Christian |
91 |
Marquette |
92 |
Missouri |
93 |
Ohio St. |
94 |
San Francisco |
95 |
Southern Methodist |
96 |
Houston |
97 |
Indiana |
98 |
Nebraska |
99 |
Saint Joseph's |
100 |
Baylor |
101 |
Oral Roberts |
102 |
Colorado |
103 |
California |
104 |
Washington St. |
105 |
Oregon St. |
106 |
Portland |
107 |
Loyola Marymount |
108 |
Winthrop |
109 |
Providence |
110 |
Temple |
111 |
Ball St. |
112 |
Georgetown |
113 |
Memphis |
114 |
Purdue |
115 |
Seton Hall |
116 |
Western Michigan |
117 |
Detroit |
118 |
Eastern Kentucky |
119 |
Kent St. |
120 |
Loyola Chicago |
121 |
Dayton |
122 |
Evansville |
123 |
Northern Illinois |
124 |
Wisconsin Green Bay |
125 |
Akron |
126 |
Illinois Chicago |
127 |
Wright St. |
128 |
Northeastern |
129 |
Massachusetts |
130 |
Niagara |
131 |
Florida St. |
132 |
Rider |
133 |
St. John's |
134 |
Pennsylvania |
135 |
Virginia Tech |
136 |
Cornell |
137 |
Princeton |
138 |
Air Force |
139 |
Davidson |
140 |
Chattanooga |
141 |
Mississippi |
142 |
Tennessee |
143 |
Georgia |
144 |
NC Greensboro |
145 |
Gardner Webb |
146 |
Missouri Kansas City |
147 |
Wofford |
148 |
Auburn |
149 |
Georgia Southern |
150 |
IUPUI |
151 |
San Diego St. |
152 |
Appalachian St. |
153 |
Cal St. Fullerton |
154 |
Colorado St. |
155 |
Middle Tennessee |
156 |
Brigham Young |
157 |
Cal Santa Barbara |
158 |
College of Charleston |
159 |
Holy Cross |
160 |
Boston University |
161 |
Charleston Southern |
162 |
Furman |
163 |
Virginia Commonwealth |
164 |
American |
165 |
Fordham |
166 |
Michigan |
167 |
The Citadel |
168 |
Binghamton |
169 |
Xavier |
170 |
Maine |
171 |
Richmond |
172 |
South Florida |
173 |
Stony Brook |
174 |
East Carolina |
175 |
Southern Mississippi |
176 |
Southeastern Louisiana |
177 |
Boise St. |
178 |
Florida International |
179 |
Sam Houston St. |
180 |
Arkansas St. |
181 |
Portland St. |
182 |
Montana St. |
183 |
South Alabama |
184 |
Montana |
185 |
Eastern Michigan |
186 |
North Texas |
187 |
Central Michigan |
188 |
NC Wilmington |
189 |
Drexel |
190 |
Fresno St. |
191 |
Marshall |
192 |
East Tennessee St. |
193 |
High Point |
194 |
Austin Peay |
195 |
St. Peter's |
196 |
Albany |
197 |
Tennessee Tech |
198 |
Jacksonville |
199 |
New Hampshire |
200 |
Samford |
201 |
Liberty |
202 |
Lipscomb |
203 |
Tennessee St. |
204 |
Cal St. Northridge |
205 |
NC Asheville |
206 |
Southeast Missouri St. |
207 |
Cal Irvine |
208 |
Fairfield |
209 |
St. Louis |
210 |
Weber St. |
211 |
Western Carolina |
212 |
Elon |
213 |
Long Beach St. |
214 |
Indiana St. |
215 |
Murray St. |
216 |
Rutgers |
217 |
Cal Davis |
218 |
Delaware St. |
219 |
Eastern Illinois |
220 |
Fairleigh Dickinson |
221 |
Valparaiso |
222 |
New Orleans |
223 |
Northwestern St. |
224 |
Sacramento St. |
225 |
Western Illinois |
226 |
Eastern Washington |
227 |
Lamar |
228 |
Louisiana Tech |
229 |
Southern Utah |
230 |
Idaho St. |
231 |
Texas San Antonio |
232 |
Tulane |
233 |
Tulsa |
234 |
Delaware |
235 |
Idaho |
236 |
McNeese St. |
237 |
George Mason |
238 |
Manhattan |
239 |
William & Mary |
240 |
Birmingham Southern |
241 |
Hampton |
242 |
Harvard |
243 |
Brown |
244 |
Radford |
245 |
Yale |
246 |
Columbia |
247 |
Hartford |
248 |
Canisius |
249 |
Iona |
250 |
Cal Poly |
251 |
Marist |
252 |
Northern Arizona |
253 |
Cal Riverside |
254 |
Siena |
255 |
South Carolina St. |
256 |
Coppin St. |
257 |
Monmouth |
258 |
Penn St. |
259 |
Bethune Cookman |
260 |
Long Island |
261 |
Florida A&M |
262 |
Lehigh |
263 |
Robert Morris |
264 |
Morgan St. |
265 |
Wagner |
266 |
St. Francis NY |
267 |
Central Connecticut |
268 |
Santa Clara |
269 |
Alabama A&M |
270 |
Belmont |
271 |
Alabama St. |
272 |
Georgia St. |
273 |
Southern |
274 |
Troy |
275 |
Utah Valley St. |
276 |
Cleveland St. |
277 |
Colgate |
278 |
Jackson St. |
279 |
Mercer |
280 |
Morehead St. |
281 |
Butler |
282 |
Coastal Carolina |
283 |
Dartmouth |
284 |
Florida Atlantic |
285 |
Grambling |
286 |
Lafayette |
287 |
Norfolk St. |
288 |
Tennessee Martin |
289 |
IUPU Fort Wayne |
290 |
Jacksonville St. |
291 |
Quinnipiac |
292 |
Stephen F. Austin |
293 |
Stetson |
294 |
Campbell |
295 |
Duquesne |
296 |
Northern Colorado |
297 |
St. Francis PA |
298 |
North Carolina A&T |
299 |
Texas St. |
300 |
Howard |
301 |
Texas Arlington |
302 |
James Madison |
303 |
Louisiana Monroe |
304 |
New Mexico St. |
305 |
Oakland |
306 |
Centenary |
307 |
La Salle |
308 |
Nicholls St. |
309 |
Texas Pan American |
310 |
Maryland Eastern Shore |
311 |
Mississippi Valley St. |
312 |
Rhode Island |
313 |
MD Baltimore County |
314 |
Prairie View A&M |
315 |
St. Bonaventure |
316 |
Alcorn St. |
317 |
Towson |
318 |
Texas Southern |
319 |
Arkansas Pine Bluff |
320 |
San Jose St. |
321 |
Virginia Military Inst |
322 |
Navy |
323 |
Mount St. Mary's |
324 |
Longwood |
325 |
Sacred Heart |
326 |
Army |
327 |
Chicago St. |
328 |
Loyola MD |
329 |
Savannah St. |
330 |
Youngstown St. |
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