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College Football Playoff "FourCast"     Follow @AnalyticsProf

Below is the predicted College Football Playoff (CFP) ranking for this week, covering all Football Bowl Subdivision games through October 27, 2018, according to the "FourCast" formula currently under development by Jay Coleman of the University of North Florida. For weeks early in the season in which the CFP selection committee does not announce a ranking, the one shown is a projection of what their ranking would be this week if they did. The predictions below are based on strongly consistent patterns found in the CFP Selection Committee's weekly rankings during the 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017 seasons. If the current CFP selection commit follows these same patterns during 2018, the ranking shown below should closely match the actual CFP ranking. Obviously, there is no guarantee that the current committee will follow a similar protocol. While the selection committee announces only a top 25, an advantage of the formula is that it can also project the teams that would be ranked from 26 through 130 if the same patterns found in the top 25 were followed. This allows teams to evaluate how close they might have been to being ranked by the committee. Given that some of the inputs used in the predictive formula may become available just before or even after the committee's announcement of its weekly ranking, the ranking reported below may reflect alternate versions of the model very early in the week, and may be updated as additional information becomes available. The ranking can be sorted alphabetically by clicking on the first column header.

Team CFP FourCast Clemson 1 Alabama 2 LSU 3 Notre Dame 4 Georgia 5 Michigan 6 Oklahoma 7 Ohio State 8 Washington St 9 Kentucky 10 Florida 11 West Virginia 12 Penn State 13 Central Florida 14 Utah 15 Texas 16 Iowa 17 Mississippi St 18 Houston 19 Syracuse 20 Washington 21 North Carolina St 22 Virginia 23 Fresno St 24 Boston College 25 Texas A&M 26 Utah St 27 Iowa St 28 Michigan St 29 Stanford 30 Texas Tech 31 Purdue 32 Maryland 33 Oklahoma St 34 Army 35 Miami FL 36 South Carolina 37 Duke 38 Southern Cal 39 Wisconsin 40 Temple 41 Pittsburgh 42 Auburn 43 Northwestern 44 Indiana 45 Buffalo 46 Alabama-Birmingham 47 Vanderbilt 48 Georgia Southern 49 Arizona St 50 Minnesota 51 Oregon 52 Cincinnati 53 Missouri 54 Boise St 55 Mississippi 56 Appalachian St 57 Florida St 58 San Diego St 59 Arizona 60 Louisiana Tech 61 TCU 62 California 63 UCLA 64 Colorado 65 Georgia Tech 66 Tennessee 67 Virginia Tech 68 Kansas St 69 Baylor 70 North Texas 71 Troy 72 Middle Tennessee St 73 Brigham Young 74 Florida Int'l 75 South Florida 76 Wake Forest 77 Nevada 78 Northern Illinois 79 Coastal Carolina 80 Toledo 81 Marshall 82 Eastern Michigan 83 Kansas 84 Liberty 85 Ohio U. 86 Nebraska 87 Oregon St 88 Western Michigan 89 Akron 90 North Carolina 91 Hawai`i 92 Louisiana-Lafayette 93 East Carolina 94 Miami OH 95 Florida Atlantic 96 Illinois 97 Memphis 98 SMU 99 Wyoming 100 Arkansas 101 Arkansas St 102 Air Force 103 Louisville 104 Louisiana-Monroe 105 Tulane 106 UNC-Charlotte 107 Rutgers 108 Massachusetts 109 Southern Miss 110 Colorado St 111 Navy 112 New Mexico 113 Connecticut 114 San José St 115 Georgia St 116 Tulsa 117 South Alabama 118 Texas-San Antonio 119 Central Michigan 120 Ball St 121 Old Dominion 122 Texas St-San Marcos 123 Western Kentucky 124 New Mexico St 125 Rice 126 UNLV 127 Bowling Green 128 UTEP 129 Kent St 130

This page last updated on October 30, 2018 at 12:49 p.m.

B. Jay Coleman, Ph.D. Richard deR. Kip Professor of Operations Management & Quantitative Methods Department of Management | Coggin College of Business | University of North Florida | Jacksonville, FL 32224 jcoleman@unf.edu Disclaimer