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Press Release for Monday, March 17, 2014

UNF Poll Reveals Crist has Slight Lead in Governor's Race

March 17, 2014

Media Contact: Joanna Norris, Director

Department of Public Relations

(904) 620-2102


A new University of North Florida poll reveals Charlie Crist has a single percentage point lead over Gov. Rick Scott - 34-to-33 percent among registered voters - in the gubernatorial race. Respondents were given the additional choice of "somebody else" in the answer options, and "somebody else," combined with the "don't know" and "no answer" responses, accounted for 34 percent of responses. In addition, 45 percent of registered voters polled approve of how Scott is handling his job as Florida's governor, down from the 49-percent approval rating in October 2013.

 

Seventy-four percent of registered voters polled responded that they would vote "yes" for Proposition 2, allowing the medical use of marijuana for individuals with debilitating diseases as determined by a licensed Florida physician. This is in stark contrast to the percentage of registered voters polled who support allowing adults in Florida to legally possess small amounts of marijuana for recreational use, which is 41 percent.

 

When asked about the "Stand Your Ground" law, 62 percent of registered voters polled supported requiring people to take reasonable steps to retreat before using force to defend themselves. In regard to vehicle registration fees, 55 percent of respondents supported the statewide reduction of vehicle registration fees by approximately $12 from the current rate of $84, even if state revenues decrease by about $250 million per year.

 

The survey was conducted through the use of a 27-station telephone-polling laboratory at UNF. A polling sample was selected through the use of random-digit-dialing methodology. A cell phone sample was used to increase representation. Age, gender, race education and party registration were weighted to the most recent U.S. Census data, as well as to statistics from the Duval County Supervisor of Elections.

 

The survey was conducted between Thursday, March 6, and Sunday, March 16, and includes 507 registered voters (+/- 4.35 percent). Approximately 50 trained interviewers participated in the data collection.

 

Below are the full results. For further information or questions about methodology, contact Dr. Michael Binder, UNF assistant professor of political science, at (904) 620-1205 or m.binder@unf.edu.

 

UNF, a nationally ranked university located on an environmentally beautiful campus, offers students who are dedicated to enriching the lives of others the opportunity to build their own futures through a well-rounded education.

 

*Data is weighted by age, gender, race, education and party registration.

Toplines

If the election for Governor was being held today, whom would you vote for between Rick Scott the Republican, Charlie Crist the Democrat or somebody else?
Answer March 2014 (N=507)
Rick Scott 33%
Charlie Crist 34%
Someone Else 17%
Don't Know/No Answer 17%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Rick Scott is handling his job as Governor of Florida?
Answer March 2014 (N=507) October 2013 (N=526)
Approve (Strongly and Somewhat) 45% 49%
Disapprove (Strongly and Somewhat) 39% 42%
Don't Know/No Answer 16% 9%

 

Proposition 2 on the statewide ballot in the fall of 2014 is called “Use of Marijuana for Certain Medical Conditions.” This amendment allows the medical use of marijuana for individuals with debilitating diseases as determined by a licensed Florida physician. If the election were held today, would you vote Yes or No for this proposition?
Answer March 2014 (N=485)
Yes 74%
No 22%
Don't Know/No Answer 4%

 

Do you support or oppose allowing adults in Florida to legally possess small amounts of marijuana for recreational use?
Answer March 2014 (N=447)
Strongly Support 25%
Somewhat Support 16%
Somewhat Oppose 11%
Strongly Oppose 46%
Don't Know/No Answer 2%

 

Current Florida law states that a person “has no duty to retreat and has the right to stand his or her ground and meet force with force to prevent death or great bodily harm to themselves or someone else.” Do you support or oppose requiring people to take reasonable steps to retreat before using force to defend themselves?
Answer March 2014 (N=476)
Strongly Support 41%
Somewhat Support 21%
Somewhat Oppose 7%
Strongly Oppose 22%
Don't Know/No Answer 8%

 

Do you support or oppose the state reducing vehicle registration fees by about 12 dollars from the current rate of 84 dollars if it decreases state revenues by about 250 million dollars per year?
Answer March 2014 (N=472)
Strongly Support 38%
Somewhat Support 17%
Somewhat Oppose 16%
Strongly Oppose 19%
Don't Know/No Answer 10%

 

Demographic Toplines

Are you a registered Democrat, Republican, No Party Affiliation or are you not registered to vote?
Answer March 2014 (N=488)
Democrat 39%
Republican 35%
No Party Affiliation and Others 25%

 

What is your age?
Answer March 2014 (N=445)
18-24 8%
25-44 28%
45-64 36%
65-80 22%
Above 80 5%
Don't Know/No Answer 1%

 

What best describes your racial or ethnic background?
Answer March 2014 (N=445)
White or Caucasian 67%
Black or African American 12%
Hispanic or Latino 14%
Asian 1%
Multi-Racial/Something Else 4%
Don't Know/No Answer 3%

 

What is the highest grade in school or year of college you have completed?
Answer March 2014 (N=445)
Less than high school degree 5%
High School Graduate 24%
Some College 42%
College Graduate 16%
Post Graduate 11%
Don't Know/No Answer 2%

 

What is your annual household income?
Answer March 2014 (N=445)
Less than $25,000 18%
$25,000 to $50,000 19%
$50,000 to $75,000 15%
$75,000 to $100,000 13%
Above $100,000 15%
Don't Know/No Answer 20%

 

Gender
Answer March 2014 (N=444)
Male 44%
Female 56%