The percentages shown at the far right for each game represents
the probability that the higher seed will win the game.
Teams noted in bold represent lower seeds who are projected to
win the game outright, based on the probabilities shown.
 =
Game predicted correctly.
|
|
Atlanta: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Duke |
7.0148 |
|
16 |
Southern |
4.6434 |
|
99.11% |
|
8 |
George Washington |
5.6848 |
|
9 |
NC Wilmington |
5.8877 |
|
41.96% |
|
5 |
Syracuse |
6.1968 |
|
12 |
Texas A&M |
5.4364 |
|
77.65% |
|
4 |
Louisiana St. |
6.8150 |
|
13 |
Iona |
5.0577 |
|
96.06% |
|
6 |
West Virginia |
6.1394 |
|
11 |
Southern Illinois |
5.8969 |
|
59.58% |
|
3 |
Iowa |
6.3418 |
|
14 |
Northwestern St. |
5.3472 |
|
84.00% |
|
7 |
California |
5.7368 |
|
10 |
North Carolina St. |
5.6661 |
|
52.82% |
|
2 |
Texas |
6.2881 |
|
15 |
Pennsylvania |
4.9750 |
|
90.54% |
|
|
Oakland: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Memphis |
6.3030 |
|
16 |
Oral Roberts |
4.6639 |
|
94.94% |
|
8 |
Arkansas |
5.7171 |
|
9 |
Bucknell |
5.4301 |
|
61.29% |
|
5 |
Pittsburgh |
5.9742 |
|
12 |
Kent St. |
5.6323 |
|
63.38% |
|
4 |
Kansas |
6.3375 |
|
13 |
Bradley |
5.7073 |
|
73.57% |
|
6 |
Indiana |
6.0427 |
|
11 |
San Diego St. |
5.9352 |
|
54.28% |
|
3 |
Gonzaga |
6.1387 |
|
14 |
Xavier |
5.1626 |
|
83.55% |
|
7 |
Marquette |
6.0347 |
|
10 |
Alabama |
6.0924 |
|
47.70% |
|
2 |
UCLA |
6.4620 |
|
15 |
Belmont |
4.5809 |
|
97.00% |
|
|
Washington, DC: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 |
Connecticut |
6.5904 |
|
16 |
Albany |
4.6920 |
|
97.12% |
|
8 |
Kentucky |
6.0181 |
|
9 |
UAB |
5.3738 |
|
74.03% |
|
5 |
Washington |
5.5056 |
|
12 |
Utah St. |
5.4500 |
|
52.22% |
|
4 |
Illinois |
5.9965 |
|
13 |
Air Force |
5.0946 |
|
81.64% |
|
6 |
Michigan St. |
6.0821 |
|
11 |
George Mason |
5.8359 |
|
59.72% |
|
3 |
North Carolina |
6.2642 |
|
14 |
Murray St. |
5.3452 |
|
82.10% |
|
7 |
Wichita St. |
6.2577 |
|
10 |
Seton Hall |
5.8272 |
|
66.66% |
|
2 |
Tennessee |
6.3590 |
|
15 |
Winthrop |
4.9415 |
|
92.18% |
|
|
Minneapolis: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Monmouth |
4.3681 |
|
|
Hampton |
3.4326 |
|
82.52% |
|
1 |
Villanova |
6.9204 |
|
16 |
Monmouth |
4.3681 |
|
99.46% |
|
8 |
Arizona |
6.0245 |
|
9 |
Wisconsin |
6.1249 |
|
46.00% |
|
5 |
Nevada |
6.0578 |
|
12 |
Montana |
4.6968 |
|
91.32% |
|
4 |
Boston College |
5.7722 |
|
13 |
Pacific |
4.6098 |
|
87.75% |
|
6 |
Oklahoma |
5.7973 |
|
11 |
Wisconsin Milwaukee |
5.5875 |
|
58.31% |
|
3 |
Florida |
5.8434 |
|
14 |
South Alabama |
4.9363 |
|
81.78% |
|
7 |
Georgetown |
5.8097 |
|
10 |
Northern Iowa |
5.6989 |
|
54.41% |
|
2 |
Ohio St. |
6.5546 |
|
15 |
Davidson |
4.6672 |
|
97.04% |
Summary of
Score Card Performance in First Round:
Correctly predicted 23 out of
33 games (including the play-in game), or 69.7%
Correct
on one of the three upsets predicted (10 Alabama over 7
Marquette), missing on 9 NC Wilmington over 8 George Washington,
and 9 Wisconsin over 8 Arizona
Correct prediction on 10 Alabama
over 7 Marquette makes the Score Card now 13 for 15 (and
2 for 2 in the last two years) when predicting upsets
involving a seed difference of three or more
| 