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MinV and MVP College Football Rankings

   

Below are rankings of all NCAA Division I-A (Football Bowl Subdivision) teams through the games of Januay 9, 2016 using MinV and MinV-Predictive (MVP), models developed by Jay Coleman of the University of North Florida.

MinV is a ranking that minimizes the number of game score violations -- that is, the number of times a game's winner is ranked behind the team it defeated. In other words, MinV guarantees the best match to the head-to-head results thus far (i.e., it's the best possible match to past games).

MVP is designed to predict future games, and matches the past head-to-head results as closely as possible without altering its game predictions for the upcoming week. MVP is expected to predict better than MinV -- and as well or better than any other ranking system available -- while approximating (but not necessarily guaranteeing) the minimum number of violations.

The MinV ranking shown below results in 78 violations out of 760 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) games played during the season, or a minimum violation percentage of 10.26%. Stated otherwise, the ranking below matches the results of 89.74% of the games played, the highest value possible. The MVP ranking shown below results in 78 violations out of 760 FBS games played thus far, a violation percentage of 10.26%.

Also included below is the chance each team will win this week, as well as the chance it will win out and the predicted number of wins it will have in its remaining regular-season games. Games against non-FBS opponents are not included in these values, which take into account home-field advantage, whereas predicting games just using the positions of teams in one of the rankings does not. Projections are derived using the purely predictive meta-model that is employed as MinV's secondary objective and MVP's primary objective (see the "Description" tab above).

Columns can be sorted from high to low by clicking on the column header.

Team
MinV Rank
MVP Rank
This Week
Win Out
Wins Left
Clemson
1
1
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Alabama
2
2
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Southern Cal
3
3
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Washington
4
4
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Penn State
5
5
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Ohio State
6
6
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Oklahoma
7
7
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Florida St
8
8
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Oklahoma St
9
9
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Wisconsin
10
10
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Tennessee
11
11
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Virginia Tech
12
12
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Miami FL
13
13
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Florida
14
14
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Iowa
15
15
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Michigan
16
16
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Western Michigan
17
17
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Nebraska
18
18
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Wyoming
19
19
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Air Force
20
20
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Boise St
21
21
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Colorado
21
21
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Minnesota
21
21
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Northwestern
24
24
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Washington St
24
24
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Pittsburgh
26
26
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Stanford
26
26
N/A
100.0%
0.00
West Virginia
26
26
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Georgia Tech
29
29
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Kansas St
29
29
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Georgia
31
31
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Auburn
32
32
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Kentucky
33
33
N/A
100.0%
0.00
LSU
33
33
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Louisville
35
35
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Mississippi St
35
35
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Texas A&M
37
37
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Boston College
38
38
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Duke
39
39
N/A
100.0%
0.00
North Carolina St
39
39
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Army
41
41
N/A
100.0%
0.00
North Carolina
41
41
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Wake Forest
43
43
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Temple
44
44
N/A
100.0%
0.00
South Florida
45
45
N/A
100.0%
0.00
South Carolina
46
46
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Missouri
47
47
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Vanderbilt
48
48
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Western Kentucky
49
49
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Arkansas
50
50
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Troy
51
51
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Appalachian St
52
52
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Idaho
53
53
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Colorado St
54
54
N/A
100.0%
0.00
San Diego St
55
55
N/A
100.0%
0.00
California
56
56
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Oregon
57
57
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Utah
58
58
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Arizona St
59
59
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Texas Tech
60
60
N/A
100.0%
0.00
UCLA
60
60
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Brigham Young
62
62
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Louisiana Tech
62
62
N/A
100.0%
0.00
TCU
62
62
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Navy
65
65
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Mississippi
66
66
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Texas
66
66
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Tulsa
66
66
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Baylor
69
69
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Memphis
69
69
N/A
100.0%
0.00
SMU
71
71
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Houston
72
72
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Indiana
73
73
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Maryland
74
74
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Central Florida
75
75
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Cincinnati
76
76
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Purdue
77
77
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Illinois
78
78
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Michigan St
79
79
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Notre Dame
80
80
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Ohio U.
81
81
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Toledo
82
82
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Iowa St
83
83
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Oregon St
84
84
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Rutgers
85
85
N/A
100.0%
0.00
New Mexico
86
86
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Northern Illinois
87
87
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Syracuse
88
88
N/A
100.0%
0.00
East Carolina
89
89
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Tulane
89
89
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Connecticut
91
91
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Virginia
92
92
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Arizona
93
93
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Akron
94
94
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Miami OH
95
95
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Old Dominion
96
96
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Hawai`i
97
97
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Texas-San Antonio
97
97
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Massachusetts
99
99
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Middle Tennessee St
99
99
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Eastern Michigan
101
101
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Florida Int'l
101
101
N/A
100.0%
0.00
North Texas
103
103
N/A
100.0%
0.00
San Josť St
103
103
N/A
100.0%
0.00
UNC-Charlotte
103
103
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Nevada
106
106
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Southern Miss
106
106
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Louisiana-Lafayette
108
108
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Utah St
108
108
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Arkansas St
110
110
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Georgia Southern
111
111
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Kansas
112
112
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Bowling Green
113
113
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Kent St
114
114
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Central Michigan
115
115
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Ball St
116
116
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Louisiana-Monroe
117
117
N/A
100.0%
0.00
South Alabama
118
118
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Georgia St
119
119
N/A
100.0%
0.00
UNLV
120
120
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Marshall
121
121
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Florida Atlantic
122
122
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Rice
123
123
N/A
100.0%
0.00
UTEP
124
124
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Fresno St
125
125
N/A
100.0%
0.00
New Mexico St
126
126
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Buffalo
127
127
N/A
100.0%
0.00
Texas St-San Marcos
128
128
N/A
100.0%
0.00


This page last updated on January 18, 2016 at 1:45 p.m.


B. Jay Coleman, Ph.D.
Richard deR. Kip Professor of Operations Management & Quantitative Methods
Department of Management | Coggin College of Business | University of North Florida | Jacksonville, FL 32224
jcoleman@unf.edu

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