NCAA Tourn. "Dance Card"
CFP "FourCast"
MinV CFB Ranking
Other Sports Research
Current Ranking
Description
Performance
Author
Media Attention
Past Rankings
Acknowledgements

College Football Playoff "FourCast"    

   

Below is the predicted College Football Playoff (CFP) ranking for this week, covering all Football Bowl Subdivision games through November 17, 2017, according to the "FourCast" formula currently under development by Jay Coleman of the University of North Florida. For weeks early in the season in which the CFP selection committee does not announce a ranking, the one shown is a projection of what their ranking would be this week if they did.

The predictions below are based on strongly consistent patterns found in the CFP Selection Committee's weekly rankings during the 2014, 2015, and 2016 seasons. If the current CFP selection committee follows these same patterns during 2017, the ranking shown below should closely match the actual CFP ranking. Obviously, there is no guarantee that the current committee will follow a similar protocol.

While the selection committee announces only a top 25, an advantage of the formula is that it can also project the teams that would be ranked from 26 through 130 if the same patterns found in the top 25 were followed. This allows teams to evaluate how close they might have been to being ranked by the committee.

Given that some of the inputs used in the predictive formula may become available just before or even after the committee's announcement of its weekly ranking, the ranking reported below may reflect alternate versions of the model very early in the week, and may be updated as additional information becomes available.

The ranking can be sorted alphabetically by clicking on the first column header.

Team
CFP FourCast
Alabama
1
Miami FL
2
Clemson
3
Oklahoma
4
Wisconsin
5
Georgia
6
Auburn
7
Ohio State
8
Notre Dame
9
Southern Cal
10
Penn State
11
TCU
12
Central Florida
13
Washington St
14
Mississippi St
15
Washington
16
Memphis
17
Stanford
18
LSU
19
Oklahoma St
20
Michigan St
21
Northwestern
22
Virginia Tech
23
Iowa
24
Boise St
25
Wake Forest
26
Iowa St
27
North Carolina St
28
Boston College
29
Michigan
30
South Florida
31
San Diego St
32
South Carolina
33
Florida Atlantic
34
Texas A&M
35
Arizona
36
Arizona St
37
Georgia Tech
38
Oregon
39
Texas
40
Kentucky
41
Purdue
42
Troy
43
UCLA
44
Toledo
45
Louisville
46
West Virginia
47
Florida
48
Houston
49
North Texas
50
Utah
51
Navy
52
California
53
Missouri
54
Florida St
55
Syracuse
56
Kansas St
57
Virginia
58
Fresno St
59
SMU
60
Duke
61
Indiana
62
Maryland
63
Texas Tech
64
Northern Illinois
65
Nebraska
66
Mississippi
67
Colorado
68
Ohio U.
69
Tennessee
70
Arkansas
71
Minnesota
72
Wyoming
73
Army
74
Tulane
75
Marshall
76
Florida Int'l
77
Southern Miss
78
Vanderbilt
79
Central Michigan
80
Akron
81
Alabama-Birmingham
82
Western Michigan
83
Texas-San Antonio
84
Arkansas St
85
Temple
86
Georgia St
87
Rutgers
88
Colorado St
89
Utah St
90
Pittsburgh
91
North Carolina
92
Air Force
93
UNLV
94
Buffalo
95
Appalachian St
96
Louisiana-Monroe
97
Eastern Michigan
98
Louisiana Tech
99
Middle Tennessee St
100
Oregon St
101
Tulsa
102
Illinois
103
Baylor
104
Western Kentucky
105
Old Dominion
106
Miami OH
107
Nevada
108
South Alabama
109
Connecticut
110
Kansas
111
Massachusetts
112
Cincinnati
113
East Carolina
114
New Mexico St
115
Brigham Young
116
Louisiana-Lafayette
117
Bowling Green
118
New Mexico
119
Idaho
120
Georgia Southern
121
UNC-Charlotte
122
Coastal Carolina
123
Ball St
124
Kent St
125
Hawai`i
126
Rice
127
Texas St-San Marcos
128
UTEP
129
San Josť St
130


This page last updated on November 20, 2017 at 6:04 p.m.


B. Jay Coleman, Ph.D.
Richard deR. Kip Professor of Operations Management & Quantitative Methods
Department of Management | Coggin College of Business | University of North Florida | Jacksonville, FL 32224
jcoleman@unf.edu

Disclaimer