Press Release for Thursday, October 10, 2013

University of North Florida Poll Reveals Crist leads Scott

Media Contact: Joanna Norris, Associate Director

Department of Public Relations

(904) 620-2102

A new University of North Florida poll reveals Charlie Crist has a 5-percentage point lead over Gov. Rick Scott (44 to 40 percent) among registered voters in the gubernatorial race. The key to Crist's lead is support from Independents (41 to 33 percent). The poll also finds Scott leading Nan Rich (43 to 28 percent).

 

  

Additionally, the poll shows that Scott's job-approval rating among registered voters sits at 49 percent. Fifty-four percent of registered Florida voters feel that Medicaid should be expanded to cover more Floridians. However, only 41 percent of the registered voters would be willing to pay more for health care, so that everyone may have access to health care in Florida.

 

  

  The Public Opinion Research Laboratory at UNF conducted the survey with the use of a 27-station telephone-polling laboratory on campus. A sample of the polling universe was selected through the use of Random-Digit-Dialing methodology. An additional cell phone sample was used to increase representation. To ensure geographic diversity, the state was pre-weighted into seven strata. The survey was conducted in Spanish for those respondents who wished to complete the survey in Spanish. Gender, age, education, race and party registration are weighted to statistics from the census and Florida Division of Elections for the state of Florida.

 

  

  The survey was conducted between Sept. 30 and Oct. 8 and includes 526 registered voters (+/- 4.27) in the state of Florida. Approximately 180 UNF political science students participated in the data collection.

 

  

  Among the statewide findings:

 

  

--Charlie Crist leads Gov. Rick Scott among registered voters 44 to 30 percent. Crist is supported by Independents (41 to 33 percent).

 

 

 

--Scott leads Nan Rich among registered voters 43 to 28 percent.

 

 

 

--Scott has a 49 percent job-approval rating among registered voters in Florida.

 

 

 

--Fifty-four percent of Florida's registered voters feel that Medicaid should be expanded.

 

 

 

--Only 41 percent of Florida's registered voters would be willing to pay more for health care, so that everyone has access to healthcare.

 

 

 

  Below are the full results. For further information or questions about methodology, contact Dr. Michael Binder, UNF assistant professor of political science, at (904) 620-1205 or m.binder@unf.edu.

 

 

 

 

 

*Data stratified by geographic region seven) and are post-weighted to match the age, gender, education, race and party registration of the state of Florida.

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Rick Scott is handling his job as Florida's governor?

 

Approve (Strongly and Somewhat)

49%

Disapprove(Strongly and Somewhat)

42%

DK/NA

9%

 

 

 

If the election for governor were being held today, who would you vote for between Rick Scott and Charlie Crist?

 

Rick Scott

40%

Charlie Crist

44%

Someone Else

2%

DK/NA

14%

 

 

 

If the election for governor were being held today, who would you vote for between Rick Scott and Nan Rich?

 

Rick Scott

43%

Nan Rich

28%

Someone Else

2%

DK/NA

27%

 

 

 

I feel that the state of Florida should expand the Medicaid program to cover more Floridians.

 

Agree (Strongly and Somewhat)

54%

Disagree(Strongly and Somewhat)

39%

DK/NA

7%

 

 

 

I would pay more for health care so that everyone may have access to care in the State of Florida.

 

Agree (Strongly and Somewhat)

41%

Disagree(Strongly and Somewhat)

55%

DK/NA

4%

 

 

 

Demographics

 

Are you a registered Democrat, Republican, No Party Affiliation or something else?

 

Democrat

39%

Republican

35%

No Party Affiliation/Others

25%

 

Of all of the telephone calls that you make, are

 

All or almost all calls on a cell phone

60%

Some on a landline and some on a cell phone

26%

All or almost all calls on a landline

13%

DK/NA

0%

 

 

 

What is your age?

 

18-24

12%

25-44

28%

45-64

36%

65 and above

23%

DK/NA

0%

 

 

 

What is the highest grade in school or year of college you have completed?

 

Less than High School degree

4%

High School Graduate

20%

Some College

52%

College Graduate

15%

Post Graduate

8%

DK/NA

0%

 

 

 

What is your annual household income?

 

Less than $23,000

15%

$23,000 to $35,000

14%

$35,000 to 65,000

22%

$65,000 to $95,000

17%

Above $95,000

16%

DK/NA

16%

 

 

 

Racial/Ethnic background?

 

Caucasian (non-Hispanic)

67%

African American (non-Hispanic)

14%

Hispanic

13%

Other

6%

 

What is your gender?

 

Male

48%

Female

58%

DK/NA

0%

 

 

 

 

 

Geographic Distribution

 

Panhandle

10%

Northeast

8%

East/Central

27%

Tampa area

16%

Southwest

13%

Palm Beach/Broward

18%

Miami-Dade

9%

 

 

 

-UNF-