October 12, 2017

 

Media Contact: Joanna Norris, Director

Department of Public Relations

(904) 620-2102

                    

Methodology Results Contact: Dr. Michael Binder

Public Opinion Research Lab Director

(904) 620-2784

 

PDF Format

 

Racial and Partisan Divisions on Confederate Statues in Jacksonville

 

A new poll of registered voters in Duval County by the Public Opinion Research Laboratory (PORL) at the University of North Florida finds that approximately 53 percent of Duval County registered voters oppose removing Confederate statues from public spaces, and 38 percent support their removal. Opposition is stronger among registered Republicans at 83 percent, while registered Democrats support removal of the statues at 56 percent. A similar split can be seen when comparing white and black respondents. Of the white registered voters, 68 percent oppose removing the Confederate statues, and 62 percent of black registered voters support their removal from public spaces.

 

“With these sizable partisan and racial differences on this issue, I just hope that emotions stay in check and ultimately we come to a resolution that everybody can live with,” Dr. Binder, faculty director of the PORL, commented. 

 

For the third year in a row, Jacksonville residents view crime as the most important problem facing the city, with 40 percent of registered voters. Women are more likely than men to believe that crime is the most important problem facing Jacksonville. Fully half of the women in the sample see crime as the most important problem, whereas only 28 percent of men in the sample feel the same.

 

Mayor Lenny Curry continues his strong job approval number since he’s been in office as 69 percent strongly or somewhat approve of the job he is doing. Even Jacksonville City Council has high approval numbers, as 50 percent approve and only 26 percent disapprove. When asked about Mike William’s approval rate, 67 percent of Duval County registered voters strongly or somewhat approve of how he is handling his job as Jacksonville’s Sheriff. Like the mayor, the sheriff’s job approval crosses partisan lines as Republicans have 82 percent overall approval, and Democrats are not that far behind with 60 percent approval.

 

The State Attorney, Melissa Nelson, has 55 percent job approval almost a year into her first term, but only 13 percent disapproval as almost a third of registered voters did not offer an opinion.  Public Defender Charlie Cofer has only 36 percent approval and 14 percent disapproval, but 50 percent of the voters did not offer an opinion. 

 

 “All of Duval’s political leaders have extremely high job approval numbers,” said Dr. Binder. “Contrast this level of satisfaction with what is happening in Washington right now, and downtown looks like a political paradise.”

 

Regarding the homeless in Jacksonville, 65 percent of registered voters in Duval County believe the city is doing too little to reduce homelessness. Another topic of interest concerning the City Council is the funding of a public pool at UNF. Support for committing city funds to build a public pool at UNF is at 72 percent of the overall sample.

 

For detailed methodology and crosstabs by party registration, gender, education, and race; click here.

Methodology 

The Jax Speaks Poll was conducted by PORL Monday, October 2, through Wednesday, October 4, by live callers via the telephone, and calls were made from 5 p.m. to 9 p.m. daily. The sample of phone numbers was created through the voter file provided by Florida’s Division of Elections January 2017 update and selected through the use of probability sampling among Duval County, Fla. registered voters in the Florida voter file. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish by UNF undergraduate and graduate students. Overall, there were 512 completed surveys of Duval County registered voters, 18 years of age or older. Of those, 509 answered the demographic questions needed for weighting.

 

The margin of sampling error for the total sample is +/- 4.3 percentage points. The breakdown of completed responses on a landline phone to a cell phone was 20 to 80 percent. A single interviewer, through hand dialing, upon reaching the specific registered voter as identified in the Florida voter file, asked the respondent to participate, regardless of landline telephone or cell phone. The total sample was then weighted by partisan registration, gender, race, age, and education. Education weights were created from the 2016 American Community Survey (ACS). Partisan registration, gender, race, and age weights were created from the September 2017 update of the Florida voter file to match the active registered voters in Duval County. These demographic characteristics were pulled from the voter file list.  All weighted demographic variables were applied using the SPSS version 23 rake weighting function. There were no statistical adjustments made due to design effects. This survey was sponsored by the UNF PORL and directed by Dr. Michael Binder, UNF associate professor of political science.  

 

The PORL is a full-service survey research facility that provides tailored research to fulfill each client’s individual needs from political, economic, social and cultural projects. The PORL opened in 2001 and is an independent, non-partisan center, a charter member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research Transparency Initiative and a member of the Association of Academic Survey Research Organization. For more information about methodology, contact Dr. Binder at porl@unf.edu or at (904) 620-2784.

 

 

Survey Results

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Lenny Curry is handling his job as Mayor of Jacksonville?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Strongly Approve

28%

Somewhat Approve

41%

Somewhat Disapprove

8%

Strongly Disapprove

5%

Don’t Know

17%

Refusal

2%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Lenny Curry is handling his job as Mayor of Jacksonville?

Answer Options

 

Registered Democrats

Registered Republicans

Registered

NPA/Others

Approve

57%

84%

67%

Disapprove

23%

2%

11%

Don’t Know

18%

13%

22%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way that Lenny Curry is handling his job as Mayor of Jacksonville?*

Answer Options

 

2017

Registered Voters

2016 Likely Voters

2015 Likely Voters

(Brown)

2014

Registered Voters

(Brown)

2013

Residents

(Brown)

2012

Registered Voters

(Brown)

Approve

69%

69%

55%

59%

70%

75%

Disapprove

13%

17%

34%

22%

18%

11%

Don’t Know

18%

15%

11%

19%

12%

14%

*Mayor Alvin Brown is listed in parentheses for the years he was in office

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Jacksonville City Council is handling its job?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Strongly Approve

6%

Somewhat Approve

44%

Somewhat Disapprove

16%

Strongly Disapprove

10%

Don’t Know

23%

Refusal

2%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Jacksonville City Council is handling its job?

Answer Options

 

2017

Registered Voters

2016

Likely Voters

2015 Likely Voters

2014

Registered Voters

2013

Residents

 

Approve

50%

48%

40%

45%

48%

Disapprove

26%

32%

43%

36%

34%

Don’t Know

24%

19%

17%

18%

17%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mike Williams is handling his job as Jacksonville’s Sheriff?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Strongly Approve

33%

Somewhat Approve

34%

Somewhat Disapprove

10%

Strongly Disapprove

8%

Don’t Know

14%

Refusal

2%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mike Williams is handling his job as Jacksonville’s Sheriff?

Answer Options

 

Registered Democrats

Registered Republicans

Registered

NPA/Others

Approve

60%

82%

55%

Disapprove

27%

5%

25%

Don’t Know

12%

12%

20%

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mike Williams is handling his job as Jacksonville’s Sheriff?*

Answer Options

 

2017

Registered Voters

2016 Likely Voters

2015 Likely Voters

(JSO)

2014

Registered Voters

(JSO)

2013

Residents

(JSO)

2012

Registered Voters

 (JSO)

Approve

67%

72%

63%

66%

71%

72%

Disapprove

18%

13%

31%

28%

26%

23%

Don’t Know

15%

14%

6%

6%

4%

5%

*JSO is listed in parentheses for the years “Jacksonville Sheriff’s Office” was asked

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Patricia Willis is handling her job as the Duval County Superintendent of Schools?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Strongly Approve

13%

Somewhat Approve

29%

Somewhat Disapprove

14%

Strongly Disapprove

8%

Don’t Know

34%

Refusal

1%

 

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Patricia Willis is handling her job as the Duval County Superintendent of Schools?

Answer Options

 

2017

Registered Voters

2016 Likely Voters

(Vitti)

2015 Likely Voters

(Vitti)

2014

Registered Voters

(Vitti)

2013

Residents

(Vitti)

Approve

42%

50%

50%

52%

43%

Disapprove

22%

34%

30%

26%

16%

Don’t Know

36%

17%

21%

22%

40%

*Nikolai Vitti is listed in parentheses for the years he was the superintendent

 

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Anna Brosche is handling her job as Jacksonville City Council President? 

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Strongly Approve

6%

Somewhat Approve

23%

Somewhat Disapprove

13%

Strongly Disapprove

7%

Don’t Know

50%

Refusal

2%

 

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charlie Cofer is handling his job as Public Defender?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Strongly Approve

9%

Somewhat Approve

27%

Somewhat Disapprove

7%

Strongly Disapprove

7%

Don’t Know

48%

Refusal

2%

 

 

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Melissa Nelson is handling her job as State Attorney?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Strongly Approve

19%

Somewhat Approve

36%

Somewhat Disapprove

7%

Strongly Disapprove

6%

Don’t Know

31%

Refusal

1%

 

 

In your opinion, what is the most important problem facing Jacksonville?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Education

20%

Improving Transportation and Infrastructure

13%

Crime

40%

Taxes

2%

Economy/Jobs

11%

Improving the Downtown Area

10%

Something Else

4%

Don’t Know

2%

Refusal

-

 

In your opinion, what is the most important problem facing Jacksonville?

Answer Options

 

Male

Female

Education

19%

20%

Improving Transportation and Infrastructure

17%

9%

Crime

28%

50%

Taxes

3%

2%

Economy/Jobs

14%

9%

Improving the Downtown Area

11%

8%

Something Else

7%

1%

Don’t Know

2%

1%

Refusal

-

-

 

Duval County’s Most Important Problem

Date

Most Important Problem

Percentage of Respondents

2017 Registered Voters

Crime

40%

2016 Likely Voters

Crime

38%

2015 Likely Voters

Crime

33%

2014 Registered Voters

Public Education

27%

2013 Residents

Economy/Jobs

37%

2012 Registered Voters

Economy/Jobs

69%

 

Do you support or oppose removing Confederate statues from public spaces around Jacksonville?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Strongly support

27%

Somewhat support

11%

Somewhat oppose

15%

Strongly oppose

39%

Don’t Know

7%

Refusal

2%

 

Do you support or oppose removing Confederate statues from public spaces around Jacksonville?

Answer Options

 

Registered Democrats

Registered Republicans

Registered

NPA/Others

Support

56%

15%

43%

Oppose

31%

83%

44%

Don’t Know

9%

2%

12%

 

Do you support or oppose removing Confederate statues from public spaces around Jacksonville?

Answer Options

 

White

African American/Black

Hispanic

Other

Support

30%

62%

40%

29%

Oppose

68%

24%

40%

53%

Don’t Know

4%

11%

12%

8%

 

Do you support or oppose the City of Jacksonville contributing funds to the building of a publicly accessible pool at the University of North Florida?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Strongly support

40%

Somewhat support

32%

Somewhat oppose

10%

Strongly oppose

12%

Don’t Know

5%

Refusal

1%

 *According to UNF administration, the University is not seeking nor would it accept public funds for a public pool. 

 

Do you think that the City of Jacksonville is doing too much, too little, or about the right amount to reduce homelessness in Jacksonville?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Too much

2%

Too little

65%

About the right amount

21%

Don’t Know

12%

Refusal

1%

 

How appealing do you think downtown Jacksonville is to young adults?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Very appealing

6%

Somewhat appealing

36%

Somewhat unappealing

29%

Very unappealing

23%

Don’t Know

6%

Refusal

-

 

What area (if any) of downtown Jacksonville should the city prioritize for development and improvements?

Answer Options

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Hemming Park/City Hall

9%

Stadium/Ship Yards

19%

Landing/Bay Street

38%

Southbank

7%

Resources should be directed elsewhere

22%

Don’t Know

6%

Refusal

<1%

 

Education

 

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Less than high school

2%

High school graduate

19%

Some college

49%

College graduate

20%

Post graduate degree

10%

Don’t Know

-

Refusal

-

 

Telephone

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Landline

20%

Cell phone

80%

Don’t Know

-

Refusal

-

 

Survey language completed in…

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

English

99%

Spanish

<1%

 

Race

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

White (not Hispanic)

60%

Black (not Hispanic)

28%

Hispanic

5%

Other

8%

 

Gender

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Male

45%

Female

55%

 

Party Registration

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

Republican

38%

Democrat

41%

NPA and other

22%

 

Age

Duval County Registered Voters n=509

18 to 24

12%

25 to 34

19%

35 to 44

16%

45 to 55

18%

56 to 64

18%

65 and older

18%

 

UNF, a nationally ranked university located on an environmentally beautiful campus, offers students who are dedicated to enriching the lives of others the opportunity to build their own futures through a well-rounded education.

 

-UNF-