2016 Florida General Election Results

 FL - President (2-way Race)

 

Clinton (D)

Trump (R)

Other

DK

 

Sample

MOE

RR4*

UNF Poll

46%

44%

3%

6%

 

819 LV

+/- 3.39

20%

Actual

47.4%

48.6%

4.1%

-

 

Field Dates: 10/20 – 10/25

 

 

Clinton (D)

Trump (R)

Other

DK

 

Sample

MOE

RR4*

UNF Poll

47%

40%

4%

9%

 

661 LV

+/- 3.8

21%

Actual

47.4%

48.6%

4.1%

-

 

Field Dates: 9/27 – 10/4

 FL - President (4-way Race)

 

Clinton (D)

Trump (R)

Johnson (L)

Stein (G)

Other

DK

Sample

MOE

RR4*

UNF Poll

43%

39%

6%

2%

<1%

9%

819 LV

+/- 3.39

20%

Actual

47.4%

48.6%

2.2%

.7%

1.2%

-

Field Dates: 10/20 – 10/25 

 

 

Clinton (D)

Trump (R)

Johnson (L)

Stein (G)

Other

DK

Sample

MOE

RR4*

UNF Poll

41%

38%

6%

3%

2%

10%

686 LV

+/- 3.8

21%

Actual

47.4%

48.6%

2.2%

.7%

1.2%

-

Field Dates: 9/27 – 10/4 

FL - Senate

 

Murphy (D)

Rubio (R)

Other

DK

 

Sample

MOE

RR4*

UNF Poll

43%

49%

<1%

7%

 

797 LV

+/- 3.39

20%

Actual

44.3%

52%

3.7%

-

 

Field Dates: 10/20 – 10/25


 

Murphy (D)

Rubio (R)

Other

DK

 

Sample

MOE

RR4*

UNF Poll

41%

48%

1%

10%

 

667 LV

+/- 3.8

21%

Actual

44.3%

52%

3.7%

-

 

Field Dates: 9/27 – 10/4

FL - CD13

 

Crist (D)

Jolly (R)

Other

DK

 

Sample

MOE

RR4*

UNF Poll

54%

36%

1%

9%

 

590 LV

+/- 4

27%

Actual

51.9%

48.1

-

-

 

Field Dates: 10/9– 10/11


FL – Amendment 2

 

Yes

No

DK

 

Sample

MOE

RR4*

UNF Poll

73%

22%

4%

 

803 LV

+/- 3.39

20%

Actual

71.3%

28.7%

-

 

Field Dates: 10/20 – 10/25

 

 

 

*RR4 = AAPOR Response Rate 4 (RR4) includes an estimate of what proportion of cases of unknown eligibility are actually eligible, and includes partial interviews as completes.

*MOE = Margin of Error

 

 

Methodology

The Florida statewide poll was conducted by live callers over the telephoneSamples were created through the voter file provided by Florida’s Division of Elections September 2016 and selected through the use of randomization among likely voters. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish, 18 years of age or older.

 

Likely voters were considered people who had voted in a statewide election between November 2008 and March 2016 or were too young to vote in 2014 but are now eligible. In addition, to be considered a likely voter, the respondent indicated that they were “Almost Certain” or “Very Likely” to vote in November’s general election.

 

Landline and cell phone were called. The sample had quota for geography based on Florida media markets. This survey was sponsored by the Public Opinion Research Laboratory at the University of North Florida and is directed by associate professor of Political Science Dr. Michael Binder.

 

The PORL is a full-service survey research facility that provides tailored research to fulfill each client’s individual needs from political, economic, social and cultural projects. The PORL opened in 2001 and is an independent, non-partisan center, a charter member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research Transparency Initiative and a member of the Association of Academic Survey Research Organization. For more information about methodology, contact Dr. Binder at porl@unf.edu or at (904) 620-2784.