Press Release for Thursday, March 16, 2006

UNF Poll Shows Guliani and McCain lead Clinton in Florida/Nelson leads Harris in 2006 Senate Race

Contact: Joanna Norris, Assistant Director
Department of Media Relations and Events
(904) 620-2102


A new University of North Florida poll shows former New York City Mayor Rudolph Guliani and Sentaor John McCain lead Senator Hillary Clinton in a head-to-head match in Florida. Among all voters in Florida, both Guliani and McCain lead Clinton by a 47 percent-41 percent margin. The poll also shows that in the Florida 2006 U.S. Senate race, Democrat Bill Nelson leads Republican Katherine Harris by 20 percent.

The poll, conducted between February 20 and March 13 by Dr. Matthew Corrigan of the Public Opinion Research Laboratory at UNF, was performed through the use of Computer Assisted Telephone interviewing at a supervised polling laboratory at the University.

The survey includes 591 registered Republican and Democratic voters in the State of Florida. The margin of error is +/-4 percent.

Among the findings:

--Guliani leads among registered Republicans in the Florida 2008 presidential race. Guliani leads McCain 33 percent to 22 percent. Newt Gingrich was third at 8 percent.

--Clinton leads among Democrats in the 2008 presidential race in Florida. Among registered Democrats, Clinton has a large lead over Senator John Kerry, former Senator John Edwards and other Democrats. Senator Clinton polled 45 percent, while Kerry has 14 percent and Edwards, 10 percent.

--Among all voters in Florida, both Guliani and McCain lead Senator Clinton by a 47 percent-41 percent margin. Clinton leads Senator George Allen of Virginia, but there are more voters in this match-up who chose “do not know” when asked who they would vote for in the 2008 election. This may be because Allen is less known than Guliani or McCain.

--In the 2006 U.S. Senate race in Florida, Democrat Bill Nelson leads Republican Katherine Harris 48 percent to 28 percent, with 22 percent undecided.

--Floridians have a much more positive view of Governor Jeb Bush’s job performance than President George Bush. Governor Bush is given an excellent or good rating of his job performance by 53 percent of Florida’s registered voters, while President Bush gets a 34 percent positive rating of his job performance (combined excellent or good) by Florida voters.

For complete results or more information regarding survey methodology, contact Dr. Matthew Corrigan at mcorriga@unf.edu or contact the Public Opinion Research Laboratory at UNF at (904) 620-4433.



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